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World Bank upgrades 2023 global growth forecast from 1.7% to 2%

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The World Bank has made a slight increase to its global growth outlook for 2023.

The international financial institution is now forecasting 2 percent growth for 2023 – up from a 1.7 percent forecast in January.

In his opening address at the 2023 World Bank/IMF spring meetings, David Malpass, president of World Bank, said despite the upward revision, the the pace of global growth would slow this year compared with 3.1 percent in 2022.

“Global growth is expected to be weak this year, slowing to 2% from 3.1% in 2022. For the U.S., we’re expecting a slowdown to 1.2% from 2.1% in 2022,” Malpass said.

“Several factors are weighing on the second half outlook: Oil prices have jumped back above $80/barrel. The recent banking sector stress dampens activity. And inflation pressures persist.

“The U.S. month-over-month core inflation has been rising over the last five months. There will be new data on Wednesday.”

The World Bank also predicted that the economic slowdown in developing countries would persist for years.

The bank said the slowdown would further increase debt distress for developing countries.

“If we look at developing countries excluding China, we expect a slowdown to about 3.1% in 2023 from 4.1% in 2022,” Malpass said.

“The concern in our recent reports is that slow growth will persist for years for many developing countries, increasing the fiscal stress and debt problems. It’s a combination of weak investment, higher interest rates, and relatively weak growth in the advanced economies.

“The danger is acute due to inflation, currency depreciation, rising debt service costs, and the collapse of international reserves.

“The diversion of natural gas to Europe presents grave obstacles to developing country production of electricity, fertilizer, and food.

“These problems are severely constraining future growth and deepening inequality and fragility for developing countries.

“I travelled to West Africa in March, where we are working to provide support in the face of these problems.”

Malpass said he had advocated a range of new policies that would spur production to combat inflation and currency weakness.

“But the likelihood is a long period of slow growth, asset reprising, and capital moving in the wrong direction — toward a narrow group of governments and big corporations rather than to the small businesses and working capital that could add to global growth,” he said.

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Nigeria to stop petrol importation in June, says Dangote

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Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest person, says Nigeria will stop importation of petrol into the country by June.

Dangote spoke at the Africa CEO Forum Annual Summit in Kigali on Friday.

He said the country should end petrol imports by June when Dangote refinery commences production of the product.

“Right now, Nigeria has no cause to import anything apart from gasoline and by sometime in June, within the next four or five weeks, Nigeria shouldn’t import anything like gasoline; not one drop of litre,” he said.

Consequently, Dangote said the shortfall in the supply of petrol will be addressed not only in Nigeria but other West African countries.

“We have enough gasoline to give to at least the entire West Africa. We have enough diesel to give to West Africa and Central Africa,” he said.

Dangote said there is enough aviation fuel to meet the continent’s demands, as well as export to Brazil and Mexico.

Speaking on the commencement of petrol production by the refiner, Dangote said “next month, we will be producing diesel and gasoline”.

He said the refinery would take most African crude grades.

DANGOTE SAYS REFINER WILL NOT FOCUS ONLY ON PETROLEUM PRODUCTS

Dangote said the refiner would not only focus on producing petroleum products.

“Today, our polypropylene and our polyethene will meet the entire demand of Africa and we are doing base oil, which is to do like engine oil,” he said.

“We are doing linear benzyl, which is raw material to produce LLB, which is raw material to produce detergent. We have 1.4 billion population and nobody is producing that in Africa.”

He said all the raw materials detergents are being imported into Africa, adding that the refinery is producing these raw materials to make Africa self-sufficient.

“As I said, give us three and a maximum of four years and Africa will not, I repeat, not import any more fertilizer from anywhere. We will make Africa self-sufficient in potash, phosphate (even if we don’t have enough, there is a lot in Morocco. But we are also looking at the opportunities,” he said

“For our urea, we are at three million tonnes and in the next twenty months, we will be at six million tonnes of urea which is the entire capacity of Egypt.”

The business mogul said the refiner has 650,000 barrels per day, one million tonnes of polypropylene, 590,000 carbon black — the raw materials ink, dyes and others.

Dangote said the second phase of the refinery will start early next year.

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Customs FX rate for import duties rises to N1,530/$

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The Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) has adjusted the foreign exchange (FX) rate for import duties to N1,530 per dollar.

This represents a 6.13 percent increase compared to the N1,441.58 adopted on May 6.

The rate adopted by customs was observed on Friday on the federal government’s single window trade portal.

Customs typically adopt FX rates recommended by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for import duties based on trading activities in the official FX market.

It was observed that the NCS rate is marginally lower than the official FX rate of N1,533/$ recorded at the close of trade on May 16.

On May 15, the Nigerian currency depreciated to N1,550 against the dollar at the parallel section of the FX market.

The parallel FX rate declined by 1.95 percent compared to the N1,520/$ reported on May 13.

On May 16, Muda Yusuf, director-general, Centre for Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), advised NCS to set a quarterly exchange rate between N800/$ and N1000/$ for import duties assessment.

Yusuf said the continuous fluctuation affects inflation.

He said setting a fixed rate was necessary to reduce the pass-through effect of heightening trade costs on inflation.

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Naira appreciates at parallel market, official window

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The naira appreciated in the parallel section of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Friday.

At the Lagos street market, currency traders, also known as bureau de change (BDC) operators, quoted the naira at N1,510 to the greenback.

The traders put the buying price of the dollar at N1,480 and the selling price at N1,510 — leaving a profit margin of N30.

The figure represents an appreciation of N40 or 2.65 percent from the N1,550/$ traded on May 15.

At the FMDQ Exchange, a platform that oversees official foreign exchange (FX) trading in Nigeria, the local currency appreciated by 2.45 percent or N36.66 to N1,497.33/$ on Friday — from N1,533.99/$ on May 16.

During trading hours, an exchange rate of N1,555 to the dollar was the highest rate recorded and the lowest rate was N1,415/$.

At the official window, a daily turnover of $83.50 million was recorded.

On May 16, the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) urged the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to peg the exchange rate benchmark for computation of import duty between N800 and N1,000 per dollar — to be reviewed quarterly.

Muda Yusuf, CPPE’s director-general, said this is important to lessen the pass-through effect of heightening trade costs on inflation.

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Bodex F. Hungbo, SPMIIM is a multiple award-winning Nigerian Digital Media Practitioner, Digital Strategist, PR consultant, Brand and Event Expert, Tv Presenter, Tier-A Blogger/Influencer, and a top cobbler in Nigeria.

She has widespread experiences across different professions and skills, which includes experiences in; Marketing, Media, Broadcasting, Brand and Event Management, Administration and Management with prior stints at MTN, NAPIMS-NNPC, GLOBAL FLEET OIL AND GAS, LTV, Silverbird and a host of others

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