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Naira falls at black market as dollar index hit 6 months high

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The dollar steadied near six-month highs as lingering signs of inflation in the United States stoked lingering concerns about the hawkish Federal Reserve.

The naira weakened to N930 to 1 dollar on Thursday in the unofficial foreign exchange (FX) market, known as the parallel market. 

This decline was exacerbated by the inability of Nigerian banks to meet the growing demand for dollars, prompting buyers to turn to the parallel market. 

The Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) plan to clear foreign exchange debt in the next two weeks should restore confidence in the economy.

Folashodun Adebisi Shonubi,  acting governor of CBN, said on Monday that the central bank has been discussing reducing the foreign exchange backlog for some time, “and we hope that we will get there after a while.” or two weeks,” he said. 

The dollar remains at its highest since mid-March as the dollar index and dollar index futures have little movement in trading in London. Concerns about worsening global economic conditions also boosted safe-haven demand for the dollar. 

At the time of writing, the US dollar index was trading at 104.8. The U.S. Dollar Index measures the value of the dollar in relation to a basket of other important currencies, including the Euro, British pound sterling, Swedish krona, and the Japanese yen.  

The recent upsides on the index mean people wishing to fulfil foreign exchange payment commitments through dollar transfers to regions like Europe and Japan would have to fork over fewer dollars to do so. 

Treasury rates with shorter maturities, which are more susceptible to fluctuations in the Fed’s rate, were several basis points higher on Wednesday. After increasing by over 6 basis points to 5.02%, the two-year yield was around 5.01%. 

Data released overnight showed that activity in the US services sector increased more than expected in August, with the price index in the sector also continuing to rise.

These numbers have raised concerns about persistent inflation in the short term, prompting the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance. 

A slew of Fed officials is expected to speak this week, offering more guidance on monetary policy ahead of a rate decision at the end of the month.

While the Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, it should also reiterate its stance on sustainable rate hikes. 

The strong U.S. labour market gives the U.S. Fed more ammunition to rein in inflation, continually adding pressure on frontier market currencies like the Nigerian naira as investors are increasingly flocking to safe-haven currencies. 

For now, the dollar remains at the heart of the global financial system and US Treasuries remain the haven of choice. 

In the SWIFT payment system, the share of dollar transactions exceeds 40%, giving it a dominant position.

The share of the euro is about 25%, while the share of the yuan is about 3%.  But the dollar’s share of foreign exchange reserves was at a record 58%  in early 2023, compared with 73% in 2001. 

But old habits are unlikely to die. In a recent report, JPMorgan economists concluded that while “marginal de-dollarization” is happening, it won’t happen quickly.

The dollar, despite all its flaws, is simply too entrenched in global transactions to be quickly converted to another currency. 

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Coca-Cola announces plan to invest $1bn in Nigeria

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Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Company says it will invest $1 billion in Nigeria over the next five years.

The investment commitment was made during a meeting with Coca-Cola’s global leadership team, including John Murphy, president and chief financial officer, and Segun Apata, chairman of Nigerian Bottling Company.

Reacting to the development in a statement on Thursday, President Bola Tinubu commended Coca-Cola for its long-standing partnership with Nigeria and for employing over 3,000 people across nine production facilities.

Tinubu said the investment highlights his administration’s commitment to creating a robust financial system and a business-friendly economy.

The president spoke in a statement signed by Bayo Onanuga, his special adviser on information and strategy.

“We are business-friendly, and as I said at my inauguration, we must create an environment of easy-in and easy-out for businesses,” the statement reads.

“We are building a financial system where you can invest, re-invest, and repatriate all your dividends. I have a firm belief in that.”

Tinubu said private sector partnerships are crucial to his government’s reforms aimed at improving the business environment.

He pledged to continue to support Coca-Cola for expanding its investments in Nigeria and addressing environmental issues, including climate change.

Murphy, speaking on Coca-Cola’s impact in Nigeria, said the company generates ₦320 billion annually through nearly 300,000 customers and contributes almost ₦90 billion in revenue to the Nigerian government.

“We are very proud of the growth of the business over a long period and its impact on the daily lives of many Nigerians,” he said.

Zoran Bogdanovic, CEO of Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Company, attributed the company’s $1 billion investment pledge to its confidence in the Nigerian government’s policies.

“Mr President, in your inaugural address, we were very pleased to hear of your invitation for foreign investors to invest and your assurance that foreign businesses can repatriate dividends and profits,” the CEO said.

“That assurance gives us the confidence to continue our investments. Since 2013, we have invested $1.5 billion in Nigeria in capacity expansion, transformation of our supply chain infrastructure capabilities, training and development.

“I am very pleased to announce that, with a predictable and enabling environment in place, we plan to invest an additional $1 billion over the next five years.”

Bogdanovic said Nigeria’s potential is tremendous, pledging the company’s commitment to work with the government to realise it.

In November 2021, the beverage manufacturer had plegded to inject $1 billion into Nigeria’s economy.

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NCC to deploy 6G spectrum to expand Wi-Fi access in Nigeria

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The Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), says it is planning to deploy the 6G spectrum in Nigeria to expand access to Wi-Fi technology.

Aminu Maida, executive vice-chairman of NCC, spoke on Thursday on the efficient management and utilisation of spectrum resources at a consultative engagement forum on emerging technologies.

Tagged, ‘The Use of 6GHz (5925-7125) MHz for WiFi and IMT Applications in Nigeria’, the forum was held in Lagos to get stakeholders’ input and recommendations on how the new frequency can be used.

The NCC also said the forum, held annually, serves as a platform to get the support of stakeholders for its policies.

In his opening remarks, Maida, represented by Abraham Oshadami, executive commissioner of techincal services at the commission, said existing spectrums (5G and 2G) are becoming overcrowded, hence the need to introduce other frequency bands.

“The 6GHz band, spanning from 5925 MHz to 7125 MHz, offers a substantial increase in available spectrum, which is crucial for supporting the growing demand for high-speed internet and advanced applications. Wi-Fi plays a crucial role in the distribution of fixed broadband connectivity in homes, offices, and various other environments,” Maida said.

“The vast majority of home internet traffic is connected to the end-user through Wi-Fi. In enterprise settings, Wi-Fi is essential for handling large amounts of data and simultaneously connecting large numbers of devices with improved reliability, higher data throughput, and lower latencies.

“However, the 5GHz and 2.4GHz that are being used for Wi-Fi (Wi-Fi 5) at the moment are becoming overwhelmed due to an increase in demand for capacity. It is, therefore, imperative to identify other frequency bands to complement the 5GHz and 2.4GHz.”

Speaking on the benefits, Maida said the proposed frequency would increase capacity, allowing for the use of applications such as virtual reality, augmented reality, which existing spectrums “will not carry”.

“With Wi-Fi 6 introduction, you have more capacity opened up for people to be able to connect and have seamless access to Wi-Fi and remember, this is unlicenced, so it is free. In the long run, it’ll bring down the cost of connecting to Wi-Fi.”

Caroline Alenoghena, a professor of telecommunications engineering at the Federal University of Technology, Minna, said the introduction of a new spectrum is necessary to address the congestion in the present Wi-Fi frequencies.

The professor said opening up the 6G band would create “opportunities for start-ups to grow” in terms of providing digital services.

On his part, Tony Emoekpere, president of the Association of Telecommunications Companies of Nigeria (ATCON), said the 6G spectrum — if properly allocated — would allow more diverse technologies to be deployed.

Emoekpere said it would also democratise access to the urban, semi-rural, and rural areas.

“Foreseeable challenges are things like infrastructure requirements, the whole of investment that’s required, competing technologies, because some of these technologies are still being developed,” the ATCON president said.

He described the forum as a standard practice in the industry to ensure that stakeholders are consulted when new technologies, licences, and policies are being developed.

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US Fed reduces interest rate to 4.75% — first cut in four years

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The United States (US) federal open market committee (FOMC) has reduced its interest rate by 0.5 percent — its first cut in four years.

FOMC, a committee under the US Federal Reserve (Fed), deliberates on monetary policies to influence the availability and cost of money and credit to help promote national economic goals.

The committee reduced the federal funds rate, which serves as the benchmark for borrowing rates in the banking industry, to a range between 4.75 and 5 percent.

During a press conference on Wednesday, Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve and FOMC, said the decision reflects the Fed’s confidence that, with policy adjustments, labour market strength can be sustained alongside moderate growth and inflation moving toward 2 percent.

“Our economy is strong overall and has made significant progress toward our goals over the past two years. The labour market has cooled from its formerly overheated state,” Powell said.

“Inflation has eased substantially from a peak of 7 percent to an estimated 2.2 percent as of August. We’re committed to maintaining our economy’s strength by supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to our 2 percent goal.

“Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to reduce the degree of policy restraint by lowering our policy interest rate by a half percentage point.

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Bodex F. Hungbo, SPMIIM is a multiple award-winning Nigerian Digital Media Practitioner, Digital Strategist, PR consultant, Brand and Event Expert, Tv Presenter, Tier-A Blogger/Influencer, and a top cobbler in Nigeria.

She has widespread experiences across different professions and skills, which includes experiences in; Marketing, Media, Broadcasting, Brand and Event Management, Administration and Management with prior stints at MTN, NAPIMS-NNPC, GLOBAL FLEET OIL AND GAS, LTV, Silverbird and a host of others

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