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Multiple interest rate hikes have helped to restore confidence in naira, says Cardoso

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Olayemi Cardoso, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), says the multiple interest rate hikes have restored confidence in the naira.

According to Cardoso, the consecutive interest rate hikes have encouraged people to see the currency differently.

The CBN governor spoke at a press conference on Tuesday after the monetary policy committee’s (MPC) 297th meeting in Abuja.

Since the resumption of the MPC meeting this year, the committee has increased the monetary policy rate (MPR), which benchmarks the interest rates, from 22.75 percent in February to 27.25 percent in September.

Cardoso said the monetary tightening has also helped to moderate inflation.

“There was a situation where exchange rate was really running at an incredible pace and people were beginning to lose confidence in the currency,” he said.

“We believe that these multiple hikes have helped for people to now begin to take a different look at their currency, and there is a greater incentive to hold naira as opposed to a situation that we had before where this was not the case.”

However, on June 12, the World Bank warned that the multiple interest rate hikes may not rein inflation and the failure of the monetary tightening poses a risk to economic growth.

Also, the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) on Tuesday said the latest hike in interest rate by the CBN is detrimental to investment and economic growth.

Speaking further, Cardoso said the CBN has worked to make the foreign exchange market more flexible and transparent by clearing the backlog of $7 billion and improving transparency in its operations.

He said it has rebuilt confidence in Nigeria’s financial system.

On February 5, Cardoso said he inherited a $7 billion foreign exchange (FX) backlog when he became the head of the apex bank in September 2023, however, it has dropped to $2.2 billion.

A month later, the CBN announced that it had successfully settled all valid outstanding FX obligations.

‘MONEY SUPPLY INCREASED BY N35TRN WITHIN 8 YEARS’

Cardoso said money supply increased by N35 trillion within eight years due to ways and means advances.

The CBN governor said between 2015 and 2023, the country’s money supply rose from N19 trillion to N54 trillion.

He said the increase was driven majorly by the printing of money through the ways and means mechanism, which led to an alarming rate of liquidity into the economy.

“We came into a very loose money supply situation. Between 2015 and 2023, the past eight years witnessed an incredible amount of pumping of liquidity into the system,” Cardoso said.

“In 2015, money supply was about N19 trillion and in 2023, it was N54 trillion. That is a huge increase, a very, very huge increase, and a substantial amount of that was through ways and means.

“Essentially printing of money resulted in a huge amount of money chasing because this is the implication. Chasing the same amount of goods, a relatively small amount of goods growing at 1.2 percent during that time and money supply was growing at 12.6 percent. You can see the inherent distortion there.”

The CBN governor said the situation worsened in 2015, when global oil prices collapsed, aggravating Nigeria’s economic challenges, given its heavy dependence on oil.

He said as a result of the collapse in oil prices, there was a decline in available FX, prompting authorities to fix exchange rates, which subsequently led to multiple exchange rates and opportunities for arbitrage.

“In other words, you had a situation where the response to excess money supply, little foreign exchange available was to fix exchange rates which now resulted in multiple exchange rates and arbitrage opportunities between one and the other and of course, this in itself, resulted in a backlog of foreign exchange, because this is where all these things have come from,” he said.

“Real sector at the time were obviously unable to access foreign exchange and things really got difficult and inflation continued to spike.”

Cardoso said upon assuming office, the CBN initiated a series of reforms to address the distortions.

One key reform, according to the CBN governor, was the attempt to harmonise the multiple exchange rates.

He said it has yielded positive results.

“Including the fact that you no longer have these multiple windows and including the fact that exchange rate is a lot more flexible and people are more able to transact their businesses through willing buyer, willing seller, as opposed to a situation where multiple exchange rates discourages or does not enable that to happen,” he added.

On January 29, CBN said it had started implementing a comprehensive strategy to improve liquidity in the Nigerian FX markets in the short, medium, and long term.

The apex bank said the FX reforms were designed to streamline and harmonise multiple exchange rates, promote transparency, and lessen the likelihood of arbitrage opportunities.

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An Op-ed on Cyber Crime in Nigeria

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According to EFCC, Nigeria as a nation till date has lost over $500m
due to Cybercrime.

This will suggest that the loss as of today’s date is likely to be at least 20% higher as
more sophisticated cybercrime tools are now available and because of the
advancement in artificial intelligence, audio spoofing etc.

Cybercrime is criminal activity that either targets or uses a computer, a computer
network, or a networked device to gain access to finances or to steal or ransomware
or to compromise sensitive data.

Cybercrime is also perpetuated to disrupt computer networks and blackmail an
organisation into paying out agreed sums to get their network, for political or
personal reasons and can be carried out by individuals or organizations.

As sophisticated as some western countries such as United States, Australia,
Germany, France, UK etc with tools such as Firewalls, Endpoint Detection Systems,
Zero Trust, 2-Factor authentication right now it still seems like a lost battle.

Traditional methods of protecting IT networks and data such as firewalls, zero trust
and two-factor authentication based on authenticating twice on the same device, etc.,
are failing to provide the required protection for our digital assets or IT landscape.

Imagine if we undertook an exercise (with written permission) to conduct a security
penetration test of most of the leading consumer software applications used daily by
most of our society, I believe the findings would be very revealing.

Nigeria is now gradually becoming a victim country, however there are ways,
methods, and techniques to impede data theft & ransomware crimes and provide
100% security for all data as follows.

3 or 4 -Factor encryption of all data, files of any kind, (text, images & video)
at rest to include biometrics such as facial recognition or using your
fingerprint to unlock access viewing all sensitive data.

Automatic back up of data at file or row data level, wherever the data resides
on a personal PC, in the cloud, on a server machine which now provides
100% recoverability.

Migrate or convert data held in spreadsheets to a secure encrypted database
application.

Using Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning, Software Robotics and
Powerful Programming Languages to write customised software applications
that can proactively detect, defend, and attack cyber criminals in their stride.

Cybersecurity Ventures estimated “global cybercrime costs to grow by 15 percent
per year over the next five years, reaching $10.5 trillion USD annually by 2025, up
from $3 trillion USD in 2015.

Cyber Crime represents the greatest transfer of economic wealth in history, risks the
incentives for innovation and its growth rate is exponentially larger than the damage
inflicted from natural disasters in a single year, and will be more profitable than the
global trade of all major illegal drugs combined.”

The above statistics are clearly very concerning, industry practitioners, cybersecurity
product providers and practitioners certainly need to communicate more and
collaborate on research and development to discover, invent and establish new
products, services and techniques to combat cybercrime.

Current methods or complacency would result in many such new headliners, we
need to act fast and Nigeria as a nation is clearly no exception.

Author – Valentine Waturuocha
Valentine Waturuocha is the Chief Technology Officer/Founder of TEMSCONSU
(www.temsconsu.com) and is the inventor of Excelitte (www.excelitte.com – A Cyber Security
Toolset that has all the features mentioned in the article), PMPplanner – (www.pmpplanner.com – A Project Management Toolset that has features than none other has), Omnium Lite –
(www.temscorp.com – A DevOps TEM Toolset).

Valentine started his career over 25 years ago after completing an MSC degree in City University London, with a focused practical dissertation in Computer & Internet Security.

Valentine also completed a mini- business studies program at Harvard University Boston in 2007 and is a member of the Harvard Business Review Group.

Valentine has either led or been involved at a decision-making level in successfully delivering a combined value of over $300 million worth of project value to various organisations globally in the last 10 years or so.

In the past 5 years he has also consulted or advised federal, state & local government depts in Australia, the United States, EMEA regions, etc on Cybersecurity, DevOps, E-Government.

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The Artificial Intelligence so called mini revolution due to the emergence of Open AI that underpins

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ChatGPT and Microsoft’s Co-Pilot is also creating a growing problem that can be likened to the equivalent of mini scams getting perpetuated globally.

So here we go again just like the year 2000 millennium bug issue which got ‘scare mongered’ into creating a knee-jerk reaction that led to an estimated global spend of over $460 billion so.

Artificial Intelligence specifically Generative AI (the underpinning technology for ChatGPT) now overhyped/exaggerated by VCs and information Technology Wannabe experts to dominate social media channels and news headlines.

AI is now put forward as a solution looking for a problem to solve which is one of the fundamental reasons that 85% to 95% of IT Software Projects fail globally.

Even when IT Software Projects are passed off as successful and the software application is implemented, most times it is still riddled with hundreds of bugs, cannot be upgraded or maintained easily or seamlessly, etc.

The previous point will explain the number of times in 2024 alone, GTB, Zenith, Access banks online banking platforms have been off-line for days due to maintenance or upgrades to the systems.

Talking about AI Return on Investment, well for a lot of CIOs and C-Level decision makers, they are never going to get any ROI on any Artificial Intelligence investment, because of its current fad status.

It is almost impossible to derive any real-time value or profitable ROI when an information technology solution is deployed as a nice to have or because of all the hype, then it is now retrofitted to supposedly solve a business problem.

Other powerful forms of AI other than ChatGPT (which is premised on Natural Language Processing) such as Machine Learning (ML) use algorithms, large amounts of data, and computing power to find patterns in data and perform tasks like prediction, classification, etc.

Software applications such as Spotify or Netflix use AI/ML intelligence to predict & suggest new content based on your interests.

We developed a few years ago, an Artificial Intelligence Powered Inspection Software Mobile Application for a client.

The software application leveraged Machine Learning precepts to predict malfunctioning or
non-complaint inspected objects in an instant, and then send a notification to the repairer.

AI/ML is likely to provide a lot more value because of the wide range of business problems it can solve.

For example, in developing robots, machine learning is leveraged to teach/train the robots using large data sets to automate and perform specific human tasks across sectors including health care, manufacturing, transport, logistics, construction, etc.

AI/ML gives robots a computer vision that enables them to navigate, detect, and determine their reactions accordingly.

ChatGPT and Generative AI have certainly put Artificial Intelligence at the forefront of Information Technology today, which is helpful in terms of attracting more investment and research.

The overall encompassing concept of Artificial Intelligence, how it is applied to solve problems, and its overall use is mostly misunderstood which leaves room as you would expect for the financial exploitation of decision-makers and investors alike.

Let us not because of the Open AI revolution ignore or not pay enough attention to other Traditional types of AI such as Predictive Analytics, Image Recognition etc.

Traditional AI is equally as important today as our society gallops along the current digital revolution.

We are guilty of focusing too much on the areas that are currently in the news at the risk of ignoring or not paying as much attention on other equally important items.

Robotics, Autonomous Vehicles and all manner of Automation underpinned by Traditional AI are contributing immensely to our current evolution as a society and also needs the relevant focus and support.

AI is no different from other Information technology concepts such as Web 3.0, IOT, Metaverse, blockchain, Quantum Computing, Hyper Automation, etc, but without applying it to fully established requirements, you get a white elephant project.

Author – Valentine Waturuocha

Valentine Waturuocha is the Chief Technology Officer/Founder of TEMSCONSU
(www.temsconsu.com) and is the inventor of Excelitte (www.excelitte.com – A Cyber Security
Toolset that has all the features mentioned in the article ), PMPplanner –(www.pmpplanner.com – a Project Management Toolset that has features than none other has), Omnium Lite – (www.temscorp.com – A DevOps TEM Toolset).

Valentine has either led or been involved at a decision-making level in successfully delivering a combined value of over $300 million worth of project value to various organisations globally in the last 10 years or so.

In the past 5 years he has also consulted or advised federal, state & local government depts in Australia, the United States, EMEA regions, etc on Cybersecurity, DevOps, E-Government, Innovation, Technology Advancement/Empowerment policies, etc.

Forbes Articles – (https://www.forbes.com/councils/forbestechcouncil/people/valentinewats/)
LinkedIn Profile – https://www.linkedin.com/in/valentinewats/

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FCCPC warns of substandard sugar brands circulating in Nigerian markets

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The Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) says it has uncovered the availability of substandard and unregistered sugar products in Nigerian markets.

The FCCPC said the products include smuggled brands from Brazil such as Grupo Moreno, Terous, USI S. Joao, Alvean, and Arapora Bionergia.

In a statement on Wednesday, Ondaje Ijagwu, director of corporate affairs at FCCPC, said the products, which failed to meet mandatory Vitamin A fortification requirements, pose serious health risks to consumers.

Ijagwu said the substandard products undermine the integrity of the local sugar industry and contribute to price manipulation that harms the market.

“Acting on a tip-off, FCCPC operatives conducted discreet investigations across the country, particularly in the South-West and the North-East,” the statement reads.

“The investigations revealed that many of the identified sugar products lacked normal labeling, including production and expiry dates, batch numbers, and the mandatory National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) registration.

“Even more concerning, most of the products were not fortified with Vitamin A, a critical nutrient essential for good vision, immune health, and overall well-being.

“The absence of this fortification exposes Nigerian consumers to serious health risks, including blindness and increased susceptibility to infections, particularly among vulnerable groups such as children and pregnant women.

“The FCCPC is also deeply concerned about the economic impact of these products.”

According to Ijagwu, the influx of smuggled sugar undermines fair competition, placing undue pressure on compliant local producers who adhere to regulatory standards.

He said importers of the substandard products engage in price manipulation to the detriment of genuine producers and consumers while pretending that the products are genuine.

The director said this jeopardises the sustainability of the Nigerian sugar industry and also erodes consumer trust in the market.

“Smuggling, facilitated through porous borders, particularly from neighboring countries such as Cameroun and Benin Republic, further complicates enforcement efforts and hampers traceability,” Ijagwu said.

“FCCPC wishes to reassure the general public that, consistent with the provisions of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Act (FCCPA) 2018, it is taking decisive steps to address this issue.

“The Commission is committed to educating consumers about the dangers of non-fortified and substandard sugar products through nationwide awareness campaigns.”

He urged Nigerian consumers to verify the authenticity of sugar products by ascertaining they carry proper labelling, including NAFDAC registration and evidence of Vitamin A fortification.

‘FCCPC COLLABORATING WITH NAFDAC, NCS TO TACKLE SMUGGLED SUGAR PRODUCTS’

Ijagwu also added that the FCCPC is intensifying enforcement and surveillance in collaboration with NAFDAC, the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS), and other relevant agencies.

He said part of the commission’s efforts include enhanced surveillance and follow-up market inspections to disrupt the supply chain of smuggled sugar products.

The director said the FCCPC is also engaging with industry stakeholders to promote compliance with quality standards, protect local producers, and foster fair competition within the sugar market.

He advised customers to remain vigilant and report any suspected substandard or unregistered sugar products to the commission.

Ijagwu said reports can be made through the commission’s email: contact@fccpc.gov.ng, or its official social media channels.

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Bodex F. Hungbo, SPMIIM is a multiple award-winning Nigerian Digital Media Practitioner, Digital Strategist, PR consultant, Brand and Event Expert, Tv Presenter, Tier-A Blogger/Influencer, and a top cobbler in Nigeria.

She has widespread experiences across different professions and skills, which includes experiences in; Marketing, Media, Broadcasting, Brand and Event Management, Administration and Management with prior stints at MTN, NAPIMS-NNPC, GLOBAL FLEET OIL AND GAS, LTV, Silverbird and a host of others

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